Do Indigenous Canadians Benefit From Government Support?

Aside from payments for pensions and benefits through Employment and Social Development Canada and for interest payments on our debt, Canada spends more on indigenous matters than anything else.

This table represents some of the larger items from just Crown-Indigenous Relations and Northern Affairs Canada in their 2021, 2022, 2023, and 2024 budgetary allotments documents.

Those numbers don’t include 2024 amounts for $21 billion for the Department of Indigenous Services, $13 million for the Northern Indigenous Economic Opportunities Program, $56 million in grants to support the Indigenous Languages and Cultures Program, and $109 million in contributions to support the Indigenous Languages and Cultures Program.

Since this cluster of programs clearly sits at the very center of the things our government does, it could probably benefit from some visibility. Don’t get me wrong: it’s our duty to honour obligations which, for instance, are the result of court rulings on historical treaty settlements. This post isn’t about the legality of any of this. My interest here is in what indigenous people get out of those programs.

So I’m going to try to track the welfare of Canada’s indigenous populations over time to see whether all that money has made a difference.

I’ll begin with unemployment. The gap between indigenous unemployment rates and those of the general population does seem to have narrowed. Between 2012 and 2016 the average difference was 5.3 percentage points, while it was just 3.2 points between 2021 and 2024. Nevertheless, Statistics Canada numbers continue to show a persistent disparity:

Similarly, the distance in 2021 between median income for indigenous workers ($36,400) and all workers ($43,200) is effectively unchanged from the 2016 figures for “aboriginal identity” ($30,246) and all Canadians ($37,231).

You will see reports praising the virtues of a growing Indigenous Gross Domestic Income (GDI). But it’s hard to see how that’s being reflected in the street-level experiences of real people. Perhaps the GDI shares some of the limitations of its cousin, Gross Domestic Product (GDP).

Indigenous educational attainment has clearly been improving over the past few census cycles. This census data shows us what’s been happening:

As you can see for yourself, there’s been a healthy decline in the numbers of people without even a high school diploma alongside clear increases in university degrees. On the other hand, trade and apprenticeship certifications have been dropping.

Those trends could possibly help explain why income and employment measures have been largely stagnant. Perhaps the declining economic value of a university degree means that such educational tracks are not necessarily always the best approach. It’s also possible that various government support programs are distorting incentives and leading, over the long run, to non-ideal outcomes.

We should also take a quick look at some basic living standards. As of 2021 at least, off-reserve Indigenous housing was still a statistical disaster: