There was a satisfying flow of responses to my invitation to share your thoughts about what could earn your votes. All told, the text containing your ideas came in at around 15,000 words (or a 50-page book). Naturally, that’s way too much for me to build a reliable narrative out of the whole thing. So I asked my AI chum to go through the responses looking for the big trends.
Taken in full, this report will please no one. There’s no easy way to draw a single overarching theme that’ll capture the prevailing sentiment and suggest that, in fact, we’re not so badly divided after all. Sorry. We’re pretty badly divided.
But the AI’s final thoughts at the end of this post do hint to some shared space. Looking past the politics and focusing instead on some big-picture goals, we do seem to share some core preferences for what government should look like and how much value there is in good faith and honesty. So there’s that.
And, if nothing else, I think this exercise was a reasonable proof of concept that genuine large scale two-way conversation about public life in Canada is possible.
The Audit: Could you analyze the responses and summarize trends visible in the various positions?
Liberal Criticism and Trust Issues:
Many voters express deep dissatisfaction with the Liberal Party's handling of issues such as economic management, scandals, and perceived overreach in social policies. There is a notable loss of trust in the Liberal Party, influencing some voters to consider conservative alternatives even if reluctantly.
Conservative Consideration:
The Conservative Party attracts voters looking for change, particularly those frustrated with economic policies and governance under the Liberals. However, skepticism about leadership qualities and the effectiveness of Conservative policies also exists.
Strategic Voting:
It is apparent that some voters are contemplating strategic voting to prevent a particular party from winning. Decision-making seems deeply influenced by the candidates’ and parties’ potential to address specific issues such as economic management and national sovereignty.
Economic Concerns:
Economic policy and trust in fiscal management are major concerns. Candidates with strong economic credentials, like Mark Carney, are favored by several voters who emphasize the need for experienced leadership in economic matters given global challenges.
Leadership Qualities:
Leadership style and experience are central themes. Voters discuss the merits and flaws of various leaders, with some seeking a balance between domestic and international policy experience. The ability to handle relationships with the United States and manage economic policy effectively are frequently highlighted.
Environmental Policies and Climate Change:
Opinions are mixed regarding the handling of environmental issues. There are rifts between those who prioritize immediate economic benefits over environmental concerns and those who support sustainable development initiatives.
Populism and Political Integrity:
There is a notable disdain for perceived populism and a desire for decision-making grounded in evidence and expert consultation.
Liberal Party's Past Tenure:
The long tenure of the Liberal Party is both a curse and a blessing in voters' eyes. While some appreciate stability, others criticize its duration for fostering complacency and corruption.
Candidate Qualities Over Party Loyalty:
Several voters express their intention to vote based on candidate qualities over party loyalty, suggesting a search for candidates who can genuinely address the nation's issues.
Desire for Change versus Fear of Instability:
Voters are torn between a desire for change to address current inadequacies and a fear that such changes could lead to instability or worsen current issues. This is evident in the mixed reactions to policies proposed by all major parties. The choice often appears to be the lesser of perceived evils.
The responses reflect a deep division among the electorate, with economic management, leadership qualities, environmental policies, and the handling of international relations being the most contentious issues. The upcoming election presents a crucial decision point for Canadian voters, faced with differentiated visions for the country’s future amidst significant domestic and global challenges.
The Audit: Based exclusively on the comments, can you offer compelling arguments for voting for either the Liberal or Conservative parties in the coming election. The arguments should, wherever possible, take into account possible counter-arguments.
Arguments for Voting Liberal:
Economic Strategy and Global Experience: Several comments appreciate Mark Carney's extensive experience in economic management and international relations. Under his leadership, the Liberal Party is perceived as better equipped to handle economic challenges and diplomatic relations, especially amid global uncertainties like Trump's tariff policies.
National Leadership in Times of Conflict: Carney’s potential focus on economic growth, productivity, and strong leadership in conflict situations, as mentioned in the comments, positions the Liberals as a stabilizing force in turbulent times.
Credibility on Climate Change and Health Policies: The Liberals, under Carney’s leadership, are seen by some as having a more credible and balanced approach to climate policy and healthcare, which are pivotal in contemporary political discourse.
Counter to Conservative Social Policies: Many comments express concerns about the Conservatives' stance on climate change, women's rights, and science, suggesting that the Liberals present a more progressive and inclusive alternative.
Counter-Arguments (Conservative Perspective):
The Liberal Party is critiqued for excessive spending and perceived corruption. Some argue that the change in leadership won't fundamentally alter the party's direction or policies.
Ethical concerns and scandals under previous Liberal leadership have left some voters distrustful, regardless of the new party leader.
Arguments for Voting Conservative:
Economic Mismanagement by Liberals: Comments frequently mention dissatisfaction with how the Liberals have managed the economy, citing increased debt and poor handling of sectors such as energy and natural resources. The Conservatives are often viewed as more fiscally responsible and likely to foster economic recovery.
Cultural and Ideological Shifts: There's a significant mention of a desire to return to traditional values or a more centrist policy approach, moving away from what some see as extreme progressivism under the Liberals.
Leadership Styles: While some criticize Conservative leader Poilievre as too divisive, he is also seen as a viable alternative to a Liberal Party perceived as corrupt or ineffective.
Counter-Arguments (Liberal Perspective):
The Conservatives are critiqued for potentially divisive social policies and a lack of definitive climate action plans.
Poilievre’s style and past political actions are sometimes viewed as unsuitable for the premiere leadership role given the scenario of handling complex international relationships and domestic policies sensitively and effectively.
General Sentiments: A prevailing theme, irrespective of party, is the desire for ethical leadership and government transparency. Voters express exasperation with ongoing political scandals and are keen on accountability and integrity in leadership. This sentiment is crucial for both parties to address in their campaigns to attract undecided voters. Moreover, with Canada's geopolitical situation, particularly concerning the US, leadership that can effectively manage these external pressures is highly valued.
Both party supporters advocate robust economic policies; however, their approaches differ significantly, reflecting the broader ideological divide within the electorate. The arguments for each side highlight a deep-rooted desire for a stable, secure, and prosperous Canada but differ on the path to achieving it.
AI for Prime Minister! After reading all that, I can only deduce that he/she/it is a consummate politician a, diplomat and a master of bafflegab. I’m no further ahead, at the end, than I was at the beginning!
But it’s heartening to know that I’m not the only one who, absent partisanship, is so far finding that this election campaign is offering a difficult choice. Hopefully, things will crystallize over the coming four weeks.
It's hard for me to believe that a person can be a Substack subscriber and still buy into the climate change catastrophe narrative.